Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001187 0.001248 0.001310 0.001378 0.001451 0.001526 0.001611
2025-07-13 0.001068 0.001153 0.001242 0.001345 0.001459 0.001582 0.001726
2025-07-20 0.001003 0.001106 0.001218 0.001349 0.001500 0.001669 0.001873
2025-07-27 0.000956 0.001072 0.001202 0.001358 0.001542 0.001754 0.002017
2025-08-03 0.000922 0.001050 0.001195 0.001374 0.001589 0.001844 0.002170
2025-08-10 0.000884 0.001019 0.001176 0.001372 0.001613 0.001905 0.002288
2025-08-17 0.000836 0.000974 0.001136 0.001342 0.001600 0.001917 0.002343
2025-08-24 0.000799 0.000940 0.001107 0.001323 0.001598 0.001943 0.002415
2025-08-31 0.000775 0.000920 0.001095 0.001324 0.001620 0.001997 0.002526
2025-09-07 0.000746 0.000893 0.001072 0.001309 0.001620 0.002023 0.002598
2025-09-14 0.000721 0.000870 0.001052 0.001297 0.001623 0.002052 0.002675
2025-09-21 0.000699 0.000849 0.001035 0.001287 0.001628 0.002082 0.002754
2025-09-28 0.000673 0.000824 0.001013 0.001273 0.001628 0.002110 0.002837
2025-10-05 0.000643 0.000792 0.000981 0.001243 0.001607 0.002107 0.002874
2025-10-12 0.000628 0.000780 0.000974 0.001247 0.001631 0.002169 0.003012
2025-10-19 0.000615 0.000770 0.000970 0.001255 0.001662 0.002241 0.003167
2025-10-26 0.000606 0.000764 0.000971 0.001269 0.001701 0.002326 0.003349
2025-11-02 0.000592 0.000751 0.000961 0.001267 0.001717 0.002378 0.003481
2025-11-09 0.000569 0.000726 0.000934 0.001240 0.001693 0.002369 0.003512
2025-11-16 0.000551 0.000707 0.000915 0.001224 0.001685 0.002382 0.003580
2025-11-23 0.000541 0.000697 0.000908 0.001224 0.001703 0.002435 0.003718
2025-11-30 0.000526 0.000681 0.000892 0.001210 0.001698 0.002452 0.003795
2025-12-07 0.000512 0.000667 0.000879 0.001200 0.001697 0.002477 0.003886